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Nations League | League A
Oct 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
SN

Germany
3 - 3
Switzerland

Werner (28'), Havertz (55'), Gnabry (60')
Gosens (36'), Kroos (65'), Rudiger (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gavranovic (5', 56'), Freuler (26')
Schar (29'), Gavranovic (50'), Xhaka (51')
Schar (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawSwitzerland
46.73%23.68%29.59%
Both teams to score 59.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29%41.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88%64.12%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92%18.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51%49%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2%26.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91%62.09%
Score Analysis
    Germany 46.73%
    Switzerland 29.59%
    Draw 23.68%
GermanyDrawSwitzerland
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-1 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.59%


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