SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Iceland |
| 50.15% | 25.57% | 24.27% |
| Both teams to score 49.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.45% | 53.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% | 75.06% |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% | 21.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.64% | 54.36% |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.83% | 37.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.04% | 73.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Iceland |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% 2-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 50.14% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
