SM
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Spain | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Iceland |
| 63.18% | 22.47% | 14.34% |
| Both teams to score 42.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% | 54.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% | 75.72% |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% | 16.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.4% | 46.59% |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.93% | 49.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.99% | 84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Iceland |
| 1-0 @ 14.66% 2-0 @ 13.12% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 5.57% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.41% Total : 63.17% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 3.33% Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.47% | 0-1 @ 5.83% 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 2.08% Other @ 2.71% Total : 14.34% |
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