Iceland will certainly provide competitive opposition for Spain, who were not at their best against Albania on Saturday. Enrique is expected to make wholesale changes to his side for this match, but La Roja should still emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Iceland
63.18%	22.47%	14.34%

Both teams to score 42.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.65%

54.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.27%

75.72%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3%

16.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.4%

46.59%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.93%

49.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.99%

84%

Score Analysis

Spain 63.17%

Iceland 14.34%

Draw 22.47%

Spain	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 14.66% 2-0 @ 13.12% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 5.57% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.41% Total : 63.17%	1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 3.33% Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.47%	0-1 @ 5.83% 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 2.08% Other @ 2.71% Total : 14.34%