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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
PN

Albania
0 - 1
Poland


Ismajli (34'), Hysaj (49'), Reja (65'), Ramadani (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Swiderski (77')
Buksa (39'), Bednarek (50'), Puchacz (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Poland had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
AlbaniaDrawPoland
43.09%23.14%33.78%
Both teams to score 64.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.76%37.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.55%59.45%
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24%17.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.54%48.47%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87%22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5%55.5%
Score Analysis
    Albania 43.09%
    Poland 33.78%
    Draw 23.13%
AlbaniaDrawPoland
2-1 @ 8.85%
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-2 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.68%
0-0 @ 3.93%
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-1 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 33.78%

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