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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
IN

Austria
4 - 2
Israel

Arnautovic (51' pen.), Schaub (62', 72'), Sabitzer (84')
Hinteregger (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bitton (33'), Peretz (59')
Abada (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Israel had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Israel win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawIsrael
51.14%23.77%25.09%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57%45.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24%67.76%
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21%17.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49%48.51%
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95%32.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49%68.51%
Score Analysis
    Austria 51.14%
    Israel 25.09%
    Draw 23.77%
AustriaDrawIsrael
1-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.14%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.49%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.09%

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