SM
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 53.01%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Cyprus |
53.01% ( 0.06) | 23.19% ( -0.12) | 23.79% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( 0.61) | 44.13% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( 0.59) | 66.51% ( -0.59) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0.24) | 16.63% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( 0.43) | 46.46% ( -0.44) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( 0.39) | 32.43% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% ( 0.44) | 68.95% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kosovo | Draw | Cyprus |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.01% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 23.79% |
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