SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kosovo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Armenia | Draw | Kosovo |
31.11% ( -0.03) | 25.8% ( -0.01) | 43.09% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( 0.04) | 50.39% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( 0.04) | 72.32% ( -0.04) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( 0) | 30.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( 0) | 66.27% ( -0.01) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.03) | 23.26% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% ( 0.05) | 57.18% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Armenia | Draw | Kosovo |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 31.11% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.08% |
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