Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
Result | ||
Norway | Draw | Kosovo |
63.81% ( 0.02) | 20.91% ( -0.01) | 15.28% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.14% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.54% ( -0.02) | 46.46% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.26% ( -0.02) | 68.74% ( 0.02) |
Norway Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.13% | 13.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.72% ( 0) | 41.27% ( -0) |
Kosovo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.05% ( -0.04) | 42.95% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.76% ( -0.04) | 79.24% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Norway | Draw | Kosovo |
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.66% Total : 63.8% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.91% | 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.28% |
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