Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.