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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Montenegro
2 - 2
Netherlands

Vukotic (82'), Vujnovic (86')
Vujnovic (68'), Savic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Depay (25' pen., 54')
Dumfries (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.75%) and 1-2 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
MontenegroDrawNetherlands
13.03%26.97%60%
Both teams to score 30.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.47%69.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.07%86.93%
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.62%60.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.16%90.84%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99%24.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74%58.26%
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 13.03%
    Netherlands 60%
    Draw 26.96%
MontenegroDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-1 @ 2.63%
2-0 @ 1.85%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 13.03%
0-0 @ 14.49%
1-1 @ 10.43%
2-2 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 20.68%
0-2 @ 14.75%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-3 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-4 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 60%

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