SM
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Finland | Draw | Montenegro |
45.71% ( 0.06) | 24.41% ( -0.02) | 29.88% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.6% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( 0.08) | 44.9% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( 0.07) | 67.26% ( -0.07) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( 0.05) | 19.77% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.18% ( 0.09) | 51.81% ( -0.09) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( 0.01) | 28.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( 0.01) | 63.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finland | Draw | Montenegro |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.88% |
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