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MN
Montenegro national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
TN
Turkey national football team

Montenegro
1 - 2
Turkey

Beciraj (4')
Osmajic (62'), Vukotic (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akturkoglu (22'), Kokcu (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 21.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawTurkey
21.63%27.53%50.84%
Both teams to score 41.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.56%62.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.94%82.06%
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.17%44.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.2%80.79%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13%24.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52%59.48%
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 21.63%
    Turkey 50.83%
    Draw 27.53%
MontenegroDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-1 @ 4.99%
2-0 @ 3.59%
3-1 @ 1.34%
3-0 @ 0.96%
3-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.63%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 15.51%
0-2 @ 10.79%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-3 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 4.02%
0-4 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.61%
1-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 50.83%

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