Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
