SM
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 44.95% | 23.88% | 31.16% |
| Both teams to score 60.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% | 41.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% | 64.26% |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% | 18.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.67% | 50.32% |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% | 25.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% | 60.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.38% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.16% |
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