SM
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Romania had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montenegro | Draw | Romania |
44.13% ( 0.02) | 26.42% ( -0) | 29.45% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.39% ( 0) | 53.61% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.89% ( 0) | 75.11% ( -0) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( 0.01) | 24.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( 0.02) | 58.47% ( -0.02) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.01) | 32.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% ( -0.01) | 69.55% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montenegro | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.45% |
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