Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Romania had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Romania win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Austria in this match.