SM
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Czech Republic | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Czech Republic | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Czech Republic |
54.98% ( 0) | 24.64% ( -0.06) | 20.38% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( 0.28) | 53.78% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% ( 0.24) | 75.25% ( -0.24) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.11) | 19.49% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.64% ( 0.18) | 51.37% ( -0.18) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.23) | 41.13% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.33% ( 0.2) | 77.67% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Czech Republic |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.96% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.38% |
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