This has all of the makings of a brilliant game of football, and it will be interesting to see how both sides are shaping up ahead of the World Cup. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away win here, but we have a feeling that a tight fixture could end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Spain had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Portugal
36.43% ( 0.04)	25.88% ( -0.01)	37.68% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.36% (

0.03)

49.64% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.34% (

0.03)

71.66% (

-0.03)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

0.04)

26.42% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.4% (

0.05)

61.59% (

-0.05)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.27% (

-0)

25.72% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.35% (

-0)

60.65% (

Score Analysis

Spain 36.43%

Portugal 37.68%

Draw 25.88%

Spain	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 36.43%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.68%