Having pushed Spain during their group, Sweden will fancy their chances of setting up a final with Poland. However, we feel that Czech Republic have the edge in important areas of the pitch, leading us to predict an away victory by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%).

Result
Sweden	Draw	Czech Republic
48.54%	22.71%	28.76%

Both teams to score 62.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.35%

37.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11%

59.89%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.15%

15.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.96%

45.05%

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7%

25.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.92%

60.08%

Score Analysis

Sweden 48.54%

Czech Republic 28.76%

Draw 22.71%

Sweden	Draw	Czech Republic
2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.77% Total : 48.54%	1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.01% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 6.98% 0-1 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 1.74% 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.76%