SM
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Czech Republic | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Czech Republic | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Czech Republic |
63.93% ( 0.02) | 21.33% ( 0.01) | 14.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.55% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( -0.09) | 49.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( -0.08) | 71.3% ( 0.08) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% ( -0.02) | 14.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.06% ( -0.04) | 42.94% ( 0.04) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.59% ( -0.1) | 45.4% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.74% ( -0.07) | 81.25% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal | Draw | Czech Republic |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 63.92% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.33% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.73% |
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