SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Sweden |
| 59.74% | 23.37% | 16.89% |
| Both teams to score 45.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% | 53.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% | 75.05% |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% | 17.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.79% | 48.21% |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.92% | 45.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19% | 80.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Sweden |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% 2-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.2% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.74% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.33% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.89% |
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