Spain
1 - 0
Sweden

Morata (86')
Mendez (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Krafth (77')

Build‑up

Spain boss Luis Enrique hails "spectacular" Gavi

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 16.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spain in this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Sweden
59.74%	23.37%	16.89%

Both teams to score 45.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46%

53.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.95%

75.05%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38%

17.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.79%

48.21%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.92%

45.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19%

80.99%

Score Analysis

Spain 59.74%

Sweden 16.89%

Draw 23.36%

Spain	Draw	Sweden
1-0 @ 13.78% 2-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.2% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.74%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.36%	0-1 @ 6.33% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.89%