SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Serbia | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 5 | -7 | 2 |
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Serbia | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 5 | -7 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Switzerland |
55.08% ( 0.22) | 24.4% ( -0.15) | 20.52% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.28% ( 0.47) | 52.72% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.64% ( 0.4) | 74.35% ( -0.4) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( 0.27) | 19.05% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( 0.44) | 50.63% ( -0.44) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.63% ( 0.2) | 40.37% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.01% ( 0.18) | 76.99% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Switzerland |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 55.07% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.52% |
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