Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.