Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 72.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Coleraine in this match.