SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 38.93% | 24.37% | 36.71% |
| Both teams to score 60.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% | 42.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% | 65.12% |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% | 21.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.77% | 55.24% |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% | 23.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.07% | 56.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% 1-0 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-1 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.71% |
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