Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cliftonville in this match.