Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
