Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 56.09%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
