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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
 

Crusaders
1 - 3
Carrick

Lowry (78')
Forsythe (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Frazer (11', 50'), Loughran (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
70.7%17.65%11.65%
Both teams to score 49.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85%40.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48%62.52%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.86%10.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.66%33.34%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.51%44.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.48%80.52%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 70.69%
    Carrick Rangers 11.65%
    Draw 17.65%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 11.81%
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 7.3%
4-0 @ 5.16%
4-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.96%
5-0 @ 2.36%
5-1 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.69%
6-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 70.69%
1-1 @ 8.36%
0-0 @ 4.51%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 17.65%
0-1 @ 3.65%
1-2 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.05%
1-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 11.65%

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