Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
