Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.
