Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
