Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
