Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glenavon in this match.
