Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 84.49%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 4.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.6%) and 4-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.13%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.