SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Portadown |
39.61% ( 0.02) | 25.04% ( 0.03) | 35.35% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( -0.16) | 45.96% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( -0.15) | 68.27% ( 0.15) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( -0.06) | 23.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( -0.09) | 56.86% ( 0.09) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( -0.1) | 25.32% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% ( -0.14) | 60.1% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.35% |
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