SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 82.27%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 5.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.3%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Portadown |
82.27% ( 0.04) | 12.17% ( 0.02) | 5.57% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% ( -0.44) | 35.43% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% ( -0.49) | 57.47% ( 0.5) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.53% ( -0.08) | 6.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.82% ( -0.22) | 24.18% ( 0.23) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.43% ( -0.54) | 55.57% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.78% ( -0.32) | 88.22% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 4.61% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.9% Total : 82.26% | 1-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.46% Total : 12.17% | 0-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.76% Total : 5.57% |
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