Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.88%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
