SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
57.83% ( -0.02) | 23.5% ( -0.01) | 18.67% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.03% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( 0.06) | 51.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.68% ( 0.05) | 73.32% ( -0.06) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% ( 0.02) | 17.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.86% ( 0.03) | 48.14% ( -0.03) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.28% ( 0.07) | 41.72% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.81% ( 0.06) | 78.19% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.81% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.67% |
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