SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Newry City AFC |
55.39% ( -7.76) | 22.8% ( 2.18) | 21.82% ( 5.59) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( 2.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.45% ( -1.19) | 44.55% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.08% ( -1.16) | 66.92% ( 1.16) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( -2.85) | 15.95% ( 2.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.78% ( -5.5) | 45.23% ( 5.51) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( 5.38) | 34.44% ( -5.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% ( 5.34) | 71.15% ( -5.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9.26% ( -1.52)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.69)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -1.64)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.65)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -1.11)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.37)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.55)Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.38% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.98) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.69)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 1.05) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 1.23)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.91)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.66)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.47)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.43)Other @ 2.1% Total : 21.82% |
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