NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
2 - 4
Coleraine

Cushley (45+1' pen.)
(44'), (68')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Shevlin (18', 40', 54'), Glackin (87')
Jarvis (48'), Mullan (65'), Gallagher (90+2')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Coleraine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Coleraine
30.24% ( 0.17)	25.41% ( -0.01)	44.34% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.89% (

0.1)

49.11% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.82% (

0.09)

71.18% (

-0.09)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

0.17)

30.08% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

0.2)

66.21% (

-0.2)

Coleraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

-0.03)

22.11% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.52% (

-0.05)

55.48% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 30.24%

Coleraine 44.34%

Draw 25.4%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Coleraine
1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 30.24%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.34%