SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Glentoran | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Crusaders | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Coleraine | 5 | 9 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Crusaders | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Coleraine | 5 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 5 | 3 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Coleraine |
50.78% ( -0.38) | 23.64% ( -0.18) | 25.59% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( 1.31) | 44.41% ( -1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( 1.25) | 66.79% ( -1.25) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( 0.35) | 17.55% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( 0.6) | 48.09% ( -0.6) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( 1.16) | 31.1% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( 1.33) | 67.43% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.43)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.76% Total : 50.78% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.59% |
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