SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Coleraine | 5 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Crusaders | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Glenavon | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Portadown | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Newry City AFC |
51.65% ( -1.28) | 23.62% ( -0.01) | 24.74% ( 1.29) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( 1.29) | 45.08% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( 1.22) | 67.43% ( -1.23) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( 0) | 17.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.04% ( 0) | 47.96% ( -0.01) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( 1.81) | 32.15% ( -1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% ( 2) | 68.63% ( -2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.76% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.6% Total : 24.74% |
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