Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.25%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
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