SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 78.04%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 7.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.15%) and 1-0 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
78.04% ( -0.45) | 14.44% ( 0.21) | 7.52% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 44.25% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.66% ( -0.02) | 38.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% ( -0.02) | 60.62% ( 0.02) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.02% ( -0.1) | 7.98% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.84% ( -0.26) | 28.16% ( 0.27) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.09% ( 0.65) | 51.91% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.05% ( 0.42) | 85.95% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 13.24% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.17)1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 78.03% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.58% Total : 14.44% | 0-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 7.52% |
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