SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Coleraine |
27.52% ( 2.6) | 24.72% ( 0.71) | 47.76% ( -3.31) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( -1.02) | 47.67% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( -0.95) | 69.87% ( 0.95) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( 1.53) | 31.32% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% ( 1.74) | 67.67% ( -1.74) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -1.73) | 20.02% ( 1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% ( -2.86) | 52.21% ( 2.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.52% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.42)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.56)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.29)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.34)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.75% |
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