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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
62.56% ( 0.05) | 19.79% ( -0.19) | 17.65% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.32% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.07% ( 1.15) | 36.93% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.89% ( 1.23) | 59.11% ( -1.23) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.69% ( 0.36) | 11.31% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.04% ( 0.77) | 35.96% ( -0.77) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( 0.85) | 34.24% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( 0.9) | 70.93% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.25)1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.55% Total : 62.56% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.79% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.8% Total : 17.65% |
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