Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 78.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 7.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.27%) and 1-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
Result | ||
Coleraine | Draw | Portadown |
78.63% ( -0.26) | 14.11% ( 0.15) | 7.26% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 44.16% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.29% ( -0.35) | 37.71% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.05% ( -0.37) | 59.95% ( 0.37) |
Coleraine Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.29% ( -0.13) | 7.71% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.53% ( -0.34) | 27.47% ( 0.34) |
Portadown Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.85% ( 0.04) | 52.14% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.9% ( 0.02) | 86.1% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Coleraine | Draw | Portadown |
2-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 78.62% | 1-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 14.11% | 0-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 7.26% |
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