SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Newry City AFC |
67.45% ( -0.1) | 18.52% ( 0.03) | 14.03% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( 0.02) | 38.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.46% ( 0.02) | 60.54% ( -0.02) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.56% ( -0.02) | 10.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.98% ( -0.04) | 34.02% ( 0.05) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.42% ( 0.11) | 39.57% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( 0.1) | 76.26% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 4.59% Total : 67.45% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.52% | 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.03% |
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