Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Glenavon
49.48% ( -0.2)	24.24% ( -0.02)	26.27% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.49% (

0.27)

46.51% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.21% (

0.25)

68.78% (

-0.25)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15% (

0.02)

18.85% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.69% (

0.04)

50.3% (

-0.04)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33% (

0.31)

31.67% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91% (

0.36)

68.08% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 49.48%

Glenavon 26.27%

Draw 24.24%

Crusaders	Draw	Glenavon
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 49.48%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.24%	0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 26.27%