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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
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Crusaders
3 - 2
Glenavon

Lowry (44'), Lecky (64', 69')
Weir (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (38'), Scannell (50')
Kerr (68')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 0-0 Crusaders
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 5-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawGlenavon
49.48% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2) 24.24% (-0.02 -0.02) 26.27% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.271 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (0.26600000000001 0.27)46.51% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (0.248 0.25)68.78% (-0.246 -0.25)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)50.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (0.315 0.31)31.67% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (0.361 0.36)68.08% (-0.36 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 49.48%
    Glenavon 26.27%
    Draw 24.24%
CrusadersDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.48%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 26.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-0 Crusaders
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 4-3 Crusaders
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Ballymena
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Linfield
Friday, September 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Larne
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Crusaders
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 5-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-1 Glenavon
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-2 Carrick
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-5 Newry City AFC
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 1-3 Glenavon
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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