SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Crusaders |
45.69% ( 1.78) | 26.4% ( -0.15) | 27.91% ( -1.62) |
| Both teams to score 49.98% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.2) | 54.28% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( -0.16) | 75.67% ( 0.17) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( 0.77) | 23.7% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.18% ( 1.1) | 57.82% ( -1.1) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% ( -1.35) | 34.5% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.78% ( -1.46) | 71.22% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.69% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.91% |
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