Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Larne	Draw	Crusaders
45.69% ( 1.78)	26.4% ( -0.15)	27.91% ( -1.62)

Both teams to score 49.98% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72% (

-0.2)

54.28% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33% (

-0.16)

75.67% (

0.17)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3% (

0.77)

23.7% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18% (

1.1)

57.82% (

-1.1)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.5% (

-1.35)

34.5% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.78% (

-1.46)

71.22% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Larne 45.69%

Crusaders 27.91%

Draw 26.39%

Larne	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.69%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.91%