Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 66.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
Result | ||
Newry City AFC | Draw | Glentoran |
13.64% ( -0.11) | 20.32% ( 0) | 66.04% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.72% ( -0.23) | 47.27% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.5% ( -0.22) | 69.5% ( 0.22) |
Newry City AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% ( -0.31) | 45.81% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.42% ( -0.24) | 81.58% ( 0.24) |
Glentoran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% ( -0.04) | 13.46% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.55% ( -0.09) | 40.45% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Newry City AFC | Draw | Glentoran |
1-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.64% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.32% | 0-2 @ 12.4% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 8.29% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 66.04% |
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